自20世纪90年代以来,已有200架最初为中国航空公司拥有和运营的喷气式飞机被出售给外国公司,平均机龄为16.8年,其中近九成是客机。同期有140多架最初由中国航空公司运营的客机被改装为货机,平均机龄18.5年,其中大部分为A300、737Classic、757和MD-11等老一代机型,仅四架为较新的737NG机型。另外,仅有130多架飞机从中国的航空公司永久退役,平均机龄在17.2年。未来20年内中国将有近2500架客机退役,其中约550架将改装为货机,因此还剩下2000架左右将退役。未来五年内将有200多架当前机龄在13年或以上的737NG(平均机龄15.6年)将达到该机型的平均退役机龄(17.9年),而有近280架当前机龄在12年或以上的A320ceo(平均机龄15年)将达到该机型的平均退役机龄(17.1年)。因此,仅就这两个机型而言,退役机龄区间内的潜在飞机总量已经超出了中国航空公司已退役、出售或客改货飞机的总量。二手飞机价值评估市场仍是国内航空金融租赁企业有待探索和开发的领域,2019年底突发的全球疫情又给在役飞机的未来价值走势带来了诸多不确定性,飞机价值评估作为航司资产优化的先决要素必定愈加受到关注,大量旧飞机到寿退役,飞机资产管理将向飞机全寿命管理发展,专注利用最大化、价值最大化、产业最大化的全过程,飞机价值管理的重要性也将进一步显现。

Since the 1990s, 200 jets originally owned and operated by Chinese airlines, with an average age of 16.8 years, have been sold to foreign companies, nearly 90 percent of them are passenger aircrafts. Over the same period, more than 140 passenger aircrafts originally operated by Chinese airlines, with an average age of 18.5 years, were converted to cargo. Most of them were older models such as the A300, 737Classic, 757 and md-11, while only four were newer 737NG models. In addition, just over 130 aircraft have been permanently retired from Chinese airlines, with an average age of 17.2 years. Over the next 20 years China will have nearly 2500 aircraft, of which about 550 will be modified to cargo aircrafts, therefore left about 2000 aircrafts will be retired. Over the next five years, more than 200 737NG aircraft with current age of 13 years or more (average age 15.6 years) will reach the average retirement age of 17.9 years, while nearly 280 A320ceos with current age of 12 years or more (average age 15 years) will reach the average retirement age of 17.1 years. As a result, for these two aircraft types alone, the total number of potential aircraft in the retirement age range already exceeds the total number of aircraft that Chinese airlines have retired, sold or converted from passenger to cargo. Second-hand aircraft valuation is still waiting for the domestic aviation market financial leasing companies explore and develop, the sudden global epidemic at the end of 2019 has brought many uncertainties to the future value trend of aircraft in service. Aircraft value evaluation, as a prerequisite for airline asset optimization, is bound to receive more attention. When a large number of old aircraft retire, aircraft asset management will develop towards the whole life management of aircraft, focusing on the whole process of maximizing utilization, value and industry. The importance of aircraft value management will also be further revealed.

Agenda

飞机交易税收及海关政策如何影响飞机价值管理体系 How does Aircraft Transaction Tax and Customs Policy Affect Aircraft Value Management System

中国民用航空局
Civil Aviation Administration of China

关于促进飞机价值提升的建议措施 Proposed Measures to Enhance the Value of Aircraft

李健(拟邀)
原副局长
中国民用航空局
LI Jian(Inviting)
Former Deputy Director General
Civil Aviation Administration of China

新型飞机的价值评估体系建设 Construction of Value Evaluation System for New Aircraft

林左鸣(拟邀)
理事长
中国航空学会
LIN Zuoming(Inviting)
Chairman
Chinese Society of Aeronautics and Astronautics

茶歇&交流 Coffee Break & Networking
新飞机境内外交易情况展望 Prospect of Domestic and Abroad Trade of New Aircraft

中国商用飞机有限责任公司
Commercial Aircraft Corporation of China Ltd

航空公司飞机引进方式的经济分析 Economic Analysis of Airlines Aircraft Introduction Mode

丁水汀(拟邀)
校长
中国民航大学
DING Shuiting(Inviting)
Principal
Civil Aviation University of China

关于构建国产民机价值管理体系的思考与建议 Thinking and Suggestions on Value Management System Construction of Domestic civil aircraft

Dick Forsberg(拟邀)
国际评估师项目理事
国际运输类飞机贸易协会
Dick Forsberg(Inviting)
Director of International Evaluator Program
ISTAT

自助午餐&午休 Luncheon Buffet
航空公司未来新机购置及租赁规划 Future Acquisition and Leasing Planning of New Aircraft in Airlines

李晓宇(拟邀)
财务部副总经理
中国东方航空股份有限公司
LI Xiaoyu(Inviting)
Deputy General Manager of Finance Department
China Eastern Airlines Co.,Ltd

机队优化与价值管理 Fleet Optimization and Value Management

中国南方航空股份有限公司
China Southern Airlines Co., Ltd

如何有效延长飞机的使用“寿命”,让其经济价值最大化? How to Prolong the Service Life of Aircraft Effectively and Maximize its Economic Value?

赞助商席位
Sponsor Session

MRO如何支持飞机资产高效管理 How does MRO Support Efficient Aircraft Asset Management

中航国际租赁有限公司
AVIC International Leasing Co., Ltd

茶歇&交流 Coffee Break & Networking
发动机健康管理及残值评估办法展望 Prospect of Engine Health Management and Residual Value Assessment Methods

中国航发商用航空发动机有限责任公司
AECC Commercial Aircraft Engine Co., Ltd

全球飞机交易系统(GATS)未来落地实施的机遇与挑战 Opportunities and Challenges of Global Aircraft Trading System (GATS) Implementation in the Future

赞助商席位
Sponsor Session

飞机经营性租赁的行业挑战及未来发展 Industry Challenges and Future Development of Aircraft Operational Leasing

工银金融租赁有限公司
ICBC Leasing

产业联动,助力飞机全生命周期价值管理高质量发展 Industrial Linkage Helps High-quality Development of Aircraft Life-cycle Value Management

中国商用飞机有限责任公司
中航国际租赁有限公司
中国东方航空股份有限公司
赞助商席位
Commercial Aircraft Corporation of China Ltd
China Eastern Airlines Co.,Ltd
AVIC International Leasing Co., Ltd
Sponsor Session

后疫情时代,客改货市场分析 In the Post-epidemic Era, Market Analyze of Passenger Carrier Convert to Cargo Carrier

山东太古飞机工程有限公司
Taikoo Shandong Aircraft Engineering Company
Limited

盘活二手飞机再处置-优化航司机队结构,节约运营成本 Revitalize the Used Aircraft Re-disposalOptimize the Structure of Airlines' Fleet to Save Operating Costs

南航国际融资租赁有限公司
China Southern Air Leasing

资产末期技术管理如何降低飞机资产残值损失风险 How does End-stage Technology Management Reduce the Risk of Residual Value Loss of Aircraft Assets

赞助商席位
Sponsor Session

茶歇&交流 Coffee Break & Networking
退役飞机再处置,助力实现碳达峰、碳中和 Redisposal of Retired Aircraft helps Achieve Emission Peak and Carbon Neutrality

中飞租融资租赁有限公司
China Asset Leasing Company Limited

飞机拆解如何实现老旧飞机残值最大化 How does Aircraft Dismantling Maximize the Residual Value of Old Aircraft

华夏飞机维修工程有限公司
China Express Aircraft Maintenance and
Engineering Co., Ltd

飞机残值动态风险评估体系建设 Construction of Dynamic Risk Assessment System for Aircraft Residual Value

赞助商席位
Sponsor Session

自助午餐&午休 Luncheon Buffet
飞机全寿命周期不同环节的资产管理实践 Asset Management Practices in Different Aspects of Aircraft Life Cycle

爱尔兰企业及院校代表
Representatives of Irish Enterprises and
Institutions

爱尔兰航空租赁运作分享 Share on Ireland aviation leasing operations

爱尔兰企业及院校代表
Representatives of Irish Enterprises and
Institutions

Location

Shanghai
Shanghai, China

See route

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